Economic data appears to be affirming that an interest rate is not coming for a few months as the Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation measure heated up despite a winter freeze, according to the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index increased 0.4% in December, putting annual inflation…
New-home sales picked up sharply in November and December, according to the latest release from the U.S. Census Bureau, in a somewhat surprising—and welcome—indicator that housing demand remains persistent against macro uncertainty. New-home sales were up 12.3% year-over-year in November and jumped 3.8% in December during what is normally a slower time for transactions. Single-family…
At the end of 2025, the leading indicators of the economy suggested a slowing contraction, but enduring consumer cynicism. The latest Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) report from nonprofit business research organization The Conference Board found a 0.2% decline in December, compared to a 0.3% decline in November. The report’s baseline (measured against 2016, rated at…
January appears to be looking up in terms of inflation as the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics saw the Consumer Price Index (CPI) hit a low for both inflation and core inflation. The CPI for January saw a 0.2% increase in the all items index, landing annual inflation at 2.4%. This is…
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On the heels of the decision from the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) to hold interest rates steady, the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data appears to support the decision as jobs and unemployment saw improvement in January. The latest Employment Situation Summary—aka the jobs report—saw the U.S. add 130,000 jobs in January, and…
Along with low interest rates and the infusion of money from federal stimulus, one of the factors that drove the pandemic boom market was a surge in so-called “housing mobility,” meaning the overall propensity of people to pick up and move. That metric rose to its highest level in almost 20 years back in 2021,…
At the January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the Federal Reserve chose to keep interest rates unchanged. Both Fed Governor Michelle Bowman (who is a voting member of the committee) and retiring Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic (who is not) have characterized the current U.S. economy as “resilient,” where annual inflation has stayed static,…
At a moderated talk held by the Rotary Club of Atlanta, retiring Federal Reserve of Atlanta President and CEO Raphael Bostic argued that the economy is in a “resilient” place, with a feared recession that “just hasn’t happened.” That resilience from 2025 will carry through to 2026, Bostic forecasted. Noting his conversations with business leaders,…
At the January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the Federal Reserve chose to keep interest rates unchanged. Recent monetary policy decisions have been facing conflicting incentives; the Fed’s mandate is maximum employment and price stability, but the labor market has been showing signs of weakness as inflation has also been going up or staying…
Lower mortgage rates at the end of 2025 prompted a refinance rush among current homeowners, helping boost prepayment rates to their highest level in three years, according to a new report from ICE Mortgage Technology. The monthly mortgage prepayment rate rose to 0.91% in December, just below the 3.5‑year high set in October, ICE reported…
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